Recently, Poker Tracker 3 developers have incorporated a new statistic in their software ...
This is the curve "Money Won Expected" (or curve EV) that allows for a saw of what "should have won" in situations where they participated in rugs. Clearly, when one makes a move to carpet before the river, will negatively impact the outcome of stroke not the curve. It makes a certain percentage of the coup, according to the percentage chance of winning instantly. For example, if I go in preflop with AA against KK HU in a pot to $ 100. EV curve will increase by about $ 30 ($ 80 minus $ 50 invested in the pot) while my actual gain curve will increase by $ 50 when I win and plunge to $ 50 when I made suckout.
short, this curve can (sometimes) to put things into perspective when going through a bad patch. It also lets you know if it was rather dark, or rather in situations chattard played on carpet ... And what a surprise to see how much I chatted on carpets situations.
Indeed, as 99% of poker players, I was persuaded to be pursued by bad luck often unhealthy ... I thought, at best, the two curves would merge ... But I never imagined that my real earnings were also far from "EV gains. This demonstrates that the vision we have of our own "luck" in the short and medium term is completely distorted.
This is the curve "Money Won Expected" (or curve EV) that allows for a saw of what "should have won" in situations where they participated in rugs. Clearly, when one makes a move to carpet before the river, will negatively impact the outcome of stroke not the curve. It makes a certain percentage of the coup, according to the percentage chance of winning instantly. For example, if I go in preflop with AA against KK HU in a pot to $ 100. EV curve will increase by about $ 30 ($ 80 minus $ 50 invested in the pot) while my actual gain curve will increase by $ 50 when I win and plunge to $ 50 when I made suckout.
short, this curve can (sometimes) to put things into perspective when going through a bad patch. It also lets you know if it was rather dark, or rather in situations chattard played on carpet ... And what a surprise to see how much I chatted on carpets situations.
Indeed, as 99% of poker players, I was persuaded to be pursued by bad luck often unhealthy ... I thought, at best, the two curves would merge ... But I never imagined that my real earnings were also far from "EV gains. This demonstrates that the vision we have of our own "luck" in the short and medium term is completely distorted.
The difference is still very significant ... This chart shows the sessions played on NL50 and NL100 HU. The vast majority of hands being played on NL50, the $ 1,800 difference between the two curves still represent 36 wineries. This represents almost 30% of my earnings.
The funniest is that I was near broke me twice ... Looking at the curve value EV at that point, one can almost conclude that I should have broke (but not sure because I did cash-out that I would not have done so my bankroll was lower).
But if this curve can figure the factor "pussy" in very specific situations where carpets fly before the river, it is only a fraction of the random behavior of poker. Indeed, we can not quantify the bad setups, prints returning or not returning when is not no carpet, etc. ... If you ask me, I will tell you that I take a lot of bad setups, better than I have so many good setups that bad, at best I get my prints as much as the average ... But in the absence of statistical figures, it is impossible to really know. And as I said, my vision of my own luck is inevitably distorted ...
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